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2024-12-13 05:44:28

A-shares: the latest tone of the top management, foreign capital continues to increase! Can we have a big repair on Wednesday?It is not difficult to see from recent speeches and a series of policies that we are still very confident about the target of 5% this year. If it can be successfully completed, it will greatly enhance the confidence of the market. The biggest problem in the current market is not that retail investors don't believe that the market can go well. Even if retail investors do, there is nothing they can do. The key is that institutions don't believe that the market can go well and lack confidence in the future. Otherwise, the market will not go anticlimactic today. If domestic institutions don't continue to smash the market, the market will not go so ugly in the afternoon.Today, the A50 index has closed below the daily offensive line, which is a bad sign. If the A50 index weakens, the pressure on the market will increase. The current offensive line is around 13,574, and it must be closed above that point tomorrow, so that the short-term trend at the daily level can be improved again. Judging from the trend of the 60-minute level, the index has stepped back near the long-term trend line and temporarily gained support. If it falls below 13,511 points effectively, the 60-minute level will be completely broken, and the A50 index may be further weakened. The A50 index represents the weight index. If the market wants to repair tomorrow, it still depends on the heavyweights. If the heavyweights don't make efforts, it is necessary to always pay attention to the trend of the A50 index.


The State Financial Supervision and Administration Bureau has officially approved the change of registered capital of National Pension and added Allianz Investment as the company's shareholder. Allianz Investment completed the subscription of about 228 million new shares issued by National Pension for about 284 million yuan (about 39 million US dollars), so the registered capital of National Pension increased to about 11.378 billion yuan. After the subscription, Allianz Investment will hold 2% equity of National Pension and become its first foreign shareholder. It is reported that Allianz Investment is an asset management institution under the Allianz Group of Germany, which is one of the largest insurance and asset management groups in the world.It is not difficult to see from recent speeches and a series of policies that we are still very confident about the target of 5% this year. If it can be successfully completed, it will greatly enhance the confidence of the market. The biggest problem in the current market is not that retail investors don't believe that the market can go well. Even if retail investors do, there is nothing they can do. The key is that institutions don't believe that the market can go well and lack confidence in the future. Otherwise, the market will not go anticlimactic today. If domestic institutions don't continue to smash the market, the market will not go so ugly in the afternoon.The securities sector is still the key to tomorrow. Today, it is also high and low. At present, it has not fallen below the offensive line, and the short-term trend remains intact. If it falls again tomorrow, it will fall below the offensive line, and the short-term trend will initially weaken. We should pay attention to short-term risks and control our positions.


The General Office of the Shanghai Municipal People's Government issued the Action Plan for Shanghai to Support the Merger and Reorganization of Listed Companies (2025-2027). Among them, it is proposed to strive to land a number of representative M&A cases in key industries by 2027, and cultivate about 10 internationally competitive listed companies in key industries such as integrated circuits, biomedicine and new materials, forming a scale of M&A transactions of 300 billion yuan and activating total assets of over 2 trillion yuan.Thanks to the huge favorable blessing, today's market is once again anticlimactic, which once again disappoints retail investors. It is not surprising to say that the accident is not once or twice. But objectively speaking, this positive is indeed a real positive, and it is a medium-and long-term positive. I think we still have to treat it rationally, and institutions need to understand and reflect well. Is it necessary to go its own way? Today's trend can be said to be very ugly, so will the market have a big repair tomorrow? Let's analyze it in detail below.Today, the A50 index has closed below the daily offensive line, which is a bad sign. If the A50 index weakens, the pressure on the market will increase. The current offensive line is around 13,574, and it must be closed above that point tomorrow, so that the short-term trend at the daily level can be improved again. Judging from the trend of the 60-minute level, the index has stepped back near the long-term trend line and temporarily gained support. If it falls below 13,511 points effectively, the 60-minute level will be completely broken, and the A50 index may be further weakened. The A50 index represents the weight index. If the market wants to repair tomorrow, it still depends on the heavyweights. If the heavyweights don't make efforts, it is necessary to always pay attention to the trend of the A50 index.

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